Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.112841 0.125950 0.139371 0.154099 0.169772 0.185912 0.203756
2024-10-20 0.094364 0.112477 0.131749 0.153644 0.177698 0.203196 0.232146
2024-10-27 0.079986 0.101266 0.124701 0.152133 0.183083 0.216660 0.255585
2024-11-03 0.070372 0.094115 0.121076 0.153456 0.190807 0.232098 0.280764
2024-11-10 0.063889 0.089779 0.119990 0.157080 0.200665 0.249598 0.308041
2024-11-17 0.056494 0.083574 0.116061 0.156826 0.205597 0.261159 0.328346
2024-11-24 0.052377 0.080979 0.116106 0.160982 0.215452 0.278228 0.354877
2024-12-01 0.047404 0.076817 0.113837 0.162007 0.221328 0.290482 0.375717
2024-12-08 0.042378 0.072134 0.110542 0.161446 0.225035 0.299987 0.393208
2024-12-15 0.038519 0.068690 0.108559 0.162290 0.230268 0.311180 0.412605
2024-12-22 0.034426 0.064563 0.105394 0.161383 0.233143 0.319397 0.428370
2024-12-29 0.032172 0.062888 0.105352 0.164386 0.240818 0.333382 0.451029
2025-01-05 0.029124 0.059859 0.103386 0.164873 0.245410 0.343787 0.469665
2025-01-12 0.026130 0.056650 0.100969 0.164607 0.248938 0.352828 0.486642
2025-01-19 0.023078 0.053058 0.097790 0.163134 0.250775 0.359686 0.500910
2025-01-26 0.021132 0.051091 0.096820 0.164569 0.256325 0.371144 0.520824
2025-02-02 0.019981 0.050362 0.097602 0.168382 0.264982 0.386523 0.545621
2025-02-09 0.017918 0.047841 0.095556 0.168130 0.268184 0.394966 0.561815
2025-02-16 0.017111 0.047502 0.096783 0.172478 0.277516 0.411219 0.587776
2025-02-23 0.015635 0.045777 0.095769 0.173552 0.282411 0.421793 0.606658
2025-03-02 0.013942 0.043451 0.093676 0.172968 0.284991 0.429355 0.621747
2025-03-09 0.012685 0.041848 0.092640 0.173850 0.289519 0.439406 0.639973
2025-03-16 0.011205 0.039603 0.090431 0.172903 0.291467 0.446069 0.653897